A simple primer on Modern Monetary Theory

(Paywall-free popularization like this is what I do for a living. To support me, see the end of this post)

… and my own main objection to it.

A simple primer on Modern Monetary Theory /img/deficit-myth.jpg

Some weeks ago, Cory Doctorow shared on Twitter the “shortest possible summary he can give on Modern Monetary Theory” (MMT). Since both that Twitter thread and its ThreaderApp version may disappear in any moment, that is a good synthesis, and MMT is on topic on this website, I took the liberty to copy and reformat the thread, with some very minor edits, as a real, permanent web page.

Why is MMT “on topic” here?

Easy: because this website and all my work are about proper use of technology and innovation, especially when it is digital, or made feasible by digital developments. The opposite is also true: many digital technologies that may greatly benefit society are much harder to deploy, if money isn’t reformed at the same time, hence my interest in MMT, and other “money reform” theories.

Here is Doctorow’s MMT summary

(emphasis mine. I have prefixed with “CRITICAL:" one point I am personally against, for reason explained in another post)

“The Deficit Myth” by @StephanieKelton is a book that could NOT be more timely in this moment of massive structural unemployment and trillions of free money for the wealthiest among us.

Kelton is one of the leading proponents of Modern Monetary Theory, which describes how money actually works, as a series of accounting flows, and makes some profound observations about the implications of understanding how government spending actually works.

Money ISSUERS (sovereign states) have a different relationship to money and debt than money USERS (everyone else: people, companies, local governments).

Governments don’t spend our taxes. Governments spend new money into existence and tax some of it back out of existence.

Governments get new money from the same place Starbucks gets new gift-card codes: by typing entries into spreadsheets.

Governments aren’t “monetarily constrained." If something is for sale in a currency the government prints, it can buy it. Governments are constrained by resources - that is, which things are for sale in its currency: labor, resources, manufacturing capacity.

Government “debts” aren’t like household debts. If governments owe debts in their own currency, they can pay by creating more currency (it’s different when the debts are in another currency: Venezuela can’t pay US dollar debts by printing Venezuelan bolivars).

Government debts are where our money comes from. Governments spend money into existence: if they “balance their budgets” then they tax all that money back out again. That’s why austerity ALWAYS leads to economic contraction - governments are taxing away too much money.

There’s one other source of money, of course: bank loans. Banks have governments charters to loan money that they don’t actually have on hand (contrary to what you’ve been taught, banks don’t loan out their deposits).

When there’s not enough government money in circulation, people seek bank loans to fill the gap. Unlike federal debts, bank loans turn a profit for bank investors. The more austerity, the more bank loans, the more profits for the finance sector (at everyone else’s expense).

So talk of “fiscal responsibility” from business groups is just a pretence for creating the conditions in which they earn interest every time someone needs money that the government has withdrawn from the economy and has to pay financiers for it instead.

[Large corporations know that] Deficits aren’t necessarily inflationary - inflation is when there’s more money than there are things for sale in that currency.

Government spending that makes everyday people better off makes it harder to coerce them into predatory loans and unfair working conditions - not because of inflation.

CRITICAL: Today, 25-35% of our workers have no market for their labor - the private sector doesn’t want that work. The feds could spend the money into existence to give each one of those workers meaningful employment doing care work and environmental remediation… A federal #JobsGuarantee would put a true floor under the price of labor in America.

To celebrate her book’s publication, Kelton has written “Why I’m Not Worried About America’s Trillion-Dollar Deficits."

Like many of us, Kelton initially agreed with Margaret Thatcher’s 1983 speech: “the state has no source of money other than the money people earn themselves. If the state wishes to spend more, it can only do so by borrowing your savings or by taxing you more." [Later] she had a profound realization about the true nature of money - and the needless cruelty and waste of austerity.

Her first published paper, 2016’s “Do Taxes and Bonds Finance Government Spending?", was a landmark attempt to bring Mosler’s ideas to academic economics.

Kelton: “Every economy faces a speed limit, regulated by the availability of its real productive resources - the state of technology and the quantity and quality of its land, workers, factories, machines and other materials.”

“If any government tries to spend too much into an economy that’s running at full speed, inflation will accelerate. So there are limits. However, the limits are not in our government’s ability to spend money or to sustain large deficits.”

“What MMT does is distinguish the real limits from wrongheaded, self-imposed constraints.”

About the “CRITICAL” point

Personally, I am not sold on MMT yet. I am just really sure that one of the very first things society needs today is to reboot money (that is, how it is created and issued, taxed…) This is why I am trying to understand if MMT is, if nothing else, the least worst way to do that reboot, before it’s too late.

However, regardless of MMT, the very idea of “jobs guarantees” of every kind sounds deeply misguided and dangerous to me, for reasons I will explain in another post. As things stand now, if I concluded that every bit of the summary above is correct, I would still say “give me MMT, minus the job guarantee part”.

Who writes this, why, and how to help

I am Marco Fioretti, tech writer and aspiring polymath doing human-digital research and popularization.
I do it because YOUR civil rights and the quality of YOUR life depend every year more on how software is used AROUND you.

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